Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.158638 0.178257 0.198737 0.221658 0.246541 0.272684 0.302172
2025-01-26 0.131985 0.158515 0.187570 0.221570 0.260078 0.302152 0.351406
2025-02-02 0.115949 0.147523 0.183548 0.227295 0.278575 0.336371 0.406012
2025-02-09 0.100613 0.135188 0.176170 0.227648 0.289869 0.361930 0.450942
2025-02-16 0.089493 0.126453 0.171812 0.230531 0.303435 0.389868 0.498905
2025-02-23 0.082580 0.122068 0.172046 0.238462 0.322836 0.424861 0.555842
2025-03-02 0.072643 0.112635 0.164907 0.236269 0.329059 0.443494 0.592973
2025-03-09 0.065036 0.105503 0.160017 0.236306 0.337613 0.464776 0.633443
2025-03-16 0.058008 0.098434 0.154535 0.234951 0.343907 0.482965 0.670071
2025-03-23 0.053905 0.095158 0.153900 0.239849 0.358295 0.511582 0.720293
2025-03-30 0.048846 0.089935 0.150058 0.239923 0.365948 0.531368 0.759313
2025-04-06 0.044137 0.084778 0.145876 0.239130 0.372135 0.549105 0.795761
2025-04-13 0.039455 0.079374 0.141168 0.237608 0.377627 0.566582 0.833069
2025-04-20 0.036135 0.075878 0.139069 0.239691 0.388117 0.590938 0.879950
2025-04-27 0.034322 0.074766 0.140549 0.247076 0.406291 0.626103 0.941984
2025-05-04 0.031360 0.071321 0.138053 0.248222 0.415354 0.648782 0.987416
2025-05-11 0.029155 0.069010 0.137198 0.251757 0.427892 0.676444 1.040052
2025-05-18 0.028099 0.068740 0.139663 0.260511 0.448318 0.715525 1.109021
2025-05-25 0.025233 0.064667 0.135410 0.258324 0.452164 0.731042 1.145418
2025-06-01 0.023022 0.061642 0.132725 0.258458 0.459400 0.751415 1.188805
2025-06-08 0.020793 0.058312 0.129249 0.257061 0.464127 0.768122 1.227161
2025-06-15 0.019700 0.057275 0.129805 0.262338 0.479271 0.800198 1.287744
2025-06-22 0.018007 0.054721 0.127391 0.262437 0.486204 0.820250 1.331351